Question

A stock is trading at $50. You believe there is a 60% chance the price of the stock will increase by 10% over the next 3 months. You believe there is a 30% chance the stock will drop by 5%, and you think there is only a 10% chance of a major drop in price of 20%. At-the-money 3-month puts are available at a cost of $650 per contract. What is the expected dollar profit for a writer of a naked put at the end of 3 months?

A. $300

B. $200

C. $475

D. $0

Answer

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