Question

An auditing firm has developed a set of criteria for determining whether a particular account (and its balance) is in error. Historically, at companies where the gross sales are under $25 million, they know that of balances that were in error, 75 percent were regarded as unusual. Assume Company A shows a history of only 10 percent of the account balances being in error and it also shows that 25 percent of the account balances were unusual. If in an audit, a particular account appears unusual, what is the probability that it is in error for Company A?

Answer

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