Question

Dan Hein owns the mineral and drilling rights to a 1,000 acre tract of land. If he drills a well and does not strike oil his net loss will be $50,000, but if he drills a well and strikes oil his net gain will be $100,000. If he does not drill, his loss is the cost of the mineral and drilling rights, which amount to $1000. For Dan's decision problem, the variable "oil in the tract" is one of the ___________.
a) payoffs
b) decision alternatives
c) states of nature
d) revised probabilities
e) prior probabilities

Answer

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