Question

Imagine a game show on television where one lucky contestant is presented with three upside-down buckets that are numbered 1, 2, and 3. Under one of the buckets is a five-ounce gold bar. Under each of the other two buckets is a one-ounce gold bar. After the game ends, the contestant will receive the gold bar that is under his or her bucket.

The host of the game show asks the contestant to choose one of the three buckets. The contestant chooses bucket #1. After the contestant makes a choice, the host lifts up bucket #2 to reveal a one-ounce gold bar under it. At this point, only two buckets remain uncovered: the bucket that the contestant originally chose (bucket #1) and the bucket that was not uncovered by the host (bucket #3).

The host subsequently asks the contestant if he or she would like to keep the original bucket or change buckets to the only other bucket remaining. The contestant changes buckets from the original bucket (bucket #1) to the other bucket remaining (bucket #3). When the contestant originally made the choice of bucket #1, the probability of the five-ounce gold bar being under that bucket was u2153 . This means that the probability of the five-ounce gold bar being under either bucket #1 or bucket #2 was u2154 . When the host lifted bucket #2 to reveal a one-ounce gold bar under it, the probability of the five-ounce gold bar being under bucket #3 is now ________, while the probability of the five-ounce gold bar being under bucket number #1 is still ________.

a. u00bd ; u2153

b. u2154 ; u2153

c. u2153 ; u2153

d. u2153 ; u2154

e. u00bd ; u2154

Answer

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