Question

In the following situation:

Today (time 0)Next Year (Yr.1)
Probability100%50%50%
Value of Developed Property$1000$700$1300
Development Cost (exclu land)$800$800$800
Suppose no further value after next year, construction is instantaneous, the riskfree interest rate is 4%, the expected return (OCC) on unlevered investments in developed property is 7.5%, what is the value today of the land? And should development be undertaken now or should you wait.

Answer

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