Question

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The number of employees on the payroll at a computer software company is recorded at the start of each month from January 2007 to December 2009. These data are shown below.
YearJanFebMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.Nov.Dec
2007348352 330 347339370380392400410405367
2008350341 345 355342350370395410401405365
2009348349 350 350342377369400410406400370
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Use the method of moving averages with an appropriate span to forecast retail sales for 2010. Do you obtain a good fit? Do you have confidence in your forecast? Explain your answers.

Answer

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