Question

Portfolio managers Martin and Krueger each manage $1 million funds. Martin has perfect foresight, and the call option value of his perfect foresight is $150,000. Krueger is an imperfect forecaster and correctly predicts 50% of all bull markets and 70% of all bear markets. The value of Krueger's imperfect forecasting ability is __________.

A. $30,000

B. $67,500

C. $108,750

D. $217,500

Answer

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