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Question
Suppose that the manager of a company has estimated the probability of a super-event sometime during the next three years that will disrupt all suppliers as 2%. In addition, the firm currently uses four suppliers for its main component, and the manager estimates the probability of a unique-event that would disrupt one of them sometime during the next three years to be 20%. Supplier management costs during this period are $50,000 per supplier. The financial cost incurred if all four suppliers are disrupted at the same time is estimated to be $10,000,000. What is the expected monetary value (cost) of the current supplier diversification arrangement?
A) $412,800
B) $415,680
C) $10,200,000
D) $215,680
E) $8,240,000
Answer
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Related questions
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Weight Day
Package 1
Package 2
Package 3
Package 4 Monday
23
22
23
24 Tuesday
23
21
19
21 Wednesday
20
19
20
21 Thursday
18
19
20
19 Friday
18
20
22
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Answer:
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